Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Swindon Town |
37.18% (![]() | 23.71% (![]() | 39.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.55% (![]() | 39.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.21% (![]() | 61.79% (![]() |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% (![]() | 21.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.65% (![]() | 54.34% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.57% (![]() | 20.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.12% (![]() | 52.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 8.26% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 10.7% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.79% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 8.5% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.11% |
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