Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.04) 
