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League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
HU

Carlisle
3 - 1
Hartlepool

Feeney (6'), Dennis (26', 66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Umerah (28')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Newport
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 3-0 Hartlepool United

Hartlepool have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, but Carlisle should still have no problems sweeping them aside, just like they did in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Dennis has been in fine form in front of goals for the Blues, and we expect him to get on the scoresheet again in a resounding victory for his side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawHartlepool United
56.56% (0.084000000000003 0.08) 24.38% (0.0040000000000013 0) 19.06% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 46.17% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (-0.117 -0.12)54.36% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)75.74% (0.102 0.1)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)19.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)50.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.08% (-0.166 -0.17)42.92% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.78% (-0.138 -0.14)79.22% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 56.55%
    Hartlepool United 19.06%
    Draw 24.38%
Carlisle UnitedDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.57% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 56.55%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.94%
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 19.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Newport
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Carlisle
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Carlisle
Thursday, December 29 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Bradford
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-3 Stoke
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-3 Harrogate
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-2 Mansfield
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Hartlepool
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two


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