MX23RW : Friday, March 29 00:16:00
SM
Watford vs. Leeds: 19 hrs 43 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
SU
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
AW

Sutton
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Randall (13'), Bugiel (69')
Bugiel (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davison (40')
Woodyard (9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Gillingham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-2 AFC Wimbledon

Sutton's form has improved recently, but it is still no comparison to the dramatic turnaround orchestrated by Johnnie Jackson at Wimbledon. As such, we expect the visitors to secure a narrow victory in a closely-contested affair, winning by the same scoreline as they did on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
48.41% (0.061 0.06) 27.93% (-0.093 -0.09) 23.66% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 42.51% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.82% (0.317 0.32)62.18% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.13% (0.232 0.23)81.87% (-0.22999999999999 -0.23)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.17599999999999 0.18)25.91% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.236 0.24)60.9% (-0.236 -0.24)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38% (0.215 0.21)42.62% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03% (0.184 0.18)78.97% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 48.4%
    AFC Wimbledon 23.66%
    Draw 27.92%
Sutton UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.91% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.04% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 23.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Gillingham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Sutton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Newport
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 AFC Wimbledon (3-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .