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League Two | Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
AW

Carlisle
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Guy (45'), Dennis (81')
Mellish (35'), Armer (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Assal (59')
Towler (30'), Brown (67'), Pell (89'), Assal (90+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
47.7% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 26.83% (0.049000000000003 0.05) 25.47% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.69% (-0.256 -0.26)57.3% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86% (-0.206 -0.21)78.14% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)24.06% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.112 -0.11)58.34% (0.111 0.11)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (-0.249 -0.25)38.18% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (-0.239 -0.24)74.94% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 47.69%
    AFC Wimbledon 25.47%
    Draw 26.83%
Carlisle UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.69%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.19% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 3-3 Rochdale
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Gillingham
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Northampton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Aston Villa U21s
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Barrow
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 5-2 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two


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