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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
BA

Doncaster
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Faal (18'), Hurst (55')
Biggins (75'), Senior (77'), Anderson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lubala (84')
Gilligan (12'), Gordon (45'), Seddon (89')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Doncaster Rovers and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawBurton Albion
43.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.91%30.83% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 53.14% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18% (0.0020000000000024 0)72.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (0.0019999999999953 0)30.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)66.84% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 43.26%
    Burton Albion 30.83%
    Draw 25.9%
Doncaster RoversDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 7.55%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2%
Total : 43.26%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Doncaster 2-2 Accrington
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-3 Salford City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-2 Doncaster
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 4-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Cambridge
Monday, October 9 at 8pm in League One


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