AFC Wimbledon will travel to Home Park with plenty of confidence and optimism that they can cause an upset, but we see the Pilgrims being too strong and back them to advance to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
60% ( 0.85)	22.11% ( -0.17)	17.89% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 50.88% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.01% (

-0.28)

47% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76% (

-0.27)

69.24% (

0.27)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.76% (

0.19)

15.25% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.08% (

0.34)

43.92% (

-0.34)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.03% (

-0.94)

39.97% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.38% (

-0.87)

76.63% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 59.99%

AFC Wimbledon 17.89%

Draw 22.11%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 59.99%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.11%	0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.89%