Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
59.68% ( -0.01) | 23.25% ( 0.02) | 17.06% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.91% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.17% ( -0.11) | 52.83% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.55% ( -0.09) | 74.45% ( 0.09) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.61% ( -0.04) | 17.38% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.2% ( -0.07) | 47.8% ( 0.06) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.57% ( -0.09) | 44.43% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.53% ( -0.07) | 80.47% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 59.68% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 17.07% |
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