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League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
AW

Swindon
0 - 0
AFC Wimbledon


Blake-Tracy (29'), Lavinier (89')
FT

Pell (63'), Woodyard (71'), Maghoma (81'), Davison (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 0-2 AFC Wimbledon

With just two points separating Swindon Town and AFC Wimbledon in the standings, we anticipate an end-to-end affair with both sides going all out for the victory. However, the Dons are favourites heading into the weekend as the home side have suffered a slump in form and struggled to find the back of the net in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
59.68% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 23.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 17.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.91% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (-0.106 -0.11)52.83% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (-0.093 -0.09)74.45% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)17.38% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.2% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)47.8% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.57% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)44.43% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.53% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)80.47% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 59.68%
    AFC Wimbledon 17.07%
    Draw 23.25%
Swindon TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.82% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 59.68%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.27% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 17.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Swindon
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Swindon
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Salford City 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two


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