Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.