SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Barrow |
26.71% ( -0.06) | 23.68% ( -0.02) | 49.61% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.73% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% ( 0.05) | 43.67% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% ( 0.05) | 66.07% ( -0.05) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( -0.02) | 29.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( -0.02) | 65.93% ( 0.03) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( 0.06) | 17.71% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.62% ( 0.1) | 48.38% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Barrow |
| 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.71% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 49.61% |
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