Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0) 
