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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Bradford City |
27.67% ( 0.14) | 23.72% ( 0.01) | 48.61% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.42% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% ( 0.07) | 43.14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% ( 0.07) | 65.54% ( -0.07) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( 0.14) | 28.85% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( 0.18) | 64.71% ( -0.17) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.03) | 17.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.32% ( -0.05) | 48.68% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Bradford City |
| 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 27.67% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 48.61% |
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