Newport extended their unbeaten home form with a resolute Boxing Day display against Forest Green Rovers and we are backing them to pick up where they left off and edge out a floundering Crewe side who have failed to taste victory since late November.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
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