Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
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