Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.04) 
