Both these teams score and concede a similar amount of goals, with them having each scored and conceded in three of their last five fixtures.
Barrow and Northampton have also each only won once in their last five games, so a high-scoring draw is the most likely outcome - especially with both sides having a pressing need for points and, possibly, being afraid to lose.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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