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League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
NT

Barrow
0 - 2
Northampton


Foley (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fox (54'), McWilliams (85')
Leonard (34'), Magloire (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Barrow
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 2-2 Northampton Town

Both these teams score and concede a similar amount of goals, with them having each scored and conceded in three of their last five fixtures. Barrow and Northampton have also each only won once in their last five games, so a high-scoring draw is the most likely outcome - especially with both sides having a pressing need for points and, possibly, being afraid to lose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawNorthampton Town
36.52%28.18% (0.0039999999999978 0) 35.3% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.09% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)58.91% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.6% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)79.4% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)67.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (-0.012 -0.01)31.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)68.05% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 36.52%
    Northampton Town 35.29%
    Draw 28.18%
BarrowDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 9.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Barrow
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-3 Barrow
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Rochdale
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Tranmere
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-1 Barrow
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Leyton Orient
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Swindon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Northampton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League Two


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