With eight wins from 10 and only eight goals conceded at Holker Street, Barrow's home form has sustained their unlikely promotion push this far. They can, therefore, extend Swindon's struggles on Saturday by pulling further clear of their close rivals in the League Two standings.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
-0.19) 
0.25) 
