Grimsby have failed to beat Bradford City in any of the last 20 meetings between the two, with their last victory coming as a 2-0 home victory in October 1998, and we expect that long barren spell to continue.
Bradford comfortably won 2-0 in their last outing against Tranmere Rovers, and we expect them to build on that victory with another three points at Blundell Park.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
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