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League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
BC

Gillingham
0 - 2
Bradford


Tutonda (66'), Lapslie (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smallwood (27'), Cook (49')
Platt (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Bradford City

Despite an improved performance in the FA Cup on Thursday night, Gillingham should not pose too much of a threat to Bradford on Sunday. The Gills have real issues scoring goals, while the visitors have won two of their last three away matches in the league, and are much the superior side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bradford City in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawBradford City
39.87% (0.471 0.47) 29.36% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 30.77% (-0.505 -0.5)
Both teams to score 43.17% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.45% (-0.223 -0.22)63.55% (0.225 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.14% (-0.159 -0.16)82.86% (0.161 0.16)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.16699999999999 0.17)31.16% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (0.195 0.2)67.5% (-0.193 -0.19)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71% (-0.505 -0.51)37.29% (0.507 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (-0.504 -0.5)74.07% (0.506 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 39.86%
    Bradford City 30.77%
    Draw 29.34%
GillinghamDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 13.54% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.136 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 13.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.61% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.34%
0-1 @ 11.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 30.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Gillingham
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 0-1 Barrow
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Tranmere
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-3 Bradford
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Bradford
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two


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