Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.03) 
