Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
0.54) 
-0.57) 
