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League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
CU

Bradford
0 - 0
Carlisle


Oliver (79'), Oliver (79+79')
FT

Moxon (37'), Barclay (56'), Armer (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bradford City 1-1 Carlisle United

With both teams competing at the top end of the League Two table, it is very difficult to separate them, so we are expecting a score draw on Tuesday night. Bradford have made a habit out of drawing games in recent times, and that record is likely to continue in a match involving two very evenly-matches sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
39.78% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03) 26.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.23% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.57% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)54.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)75.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.012 -0.01)26.88% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)62.19% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16% (0.028000000000006 0.03)30.83% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (0.031000000000006 0.03)67.11% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 39.77%
    Carlisle United 33.23%
    Draw 26.99%
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 39.77%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bradford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 Bradford
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Colchester
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Bradford
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-5 Carlisle
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Mansfield
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two


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