Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
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