Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.02) 
