While Exeter City have struggled to put together a fine run of form, they head into Tuesday's contest as slight favourites. They are unbeaten in four consecutive games against the Gills and we predict they will extend their recent dominance in the history of this fixture.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
