Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
-0.88) 
0.57) 
