Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.59%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.1) 
