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League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
CU

Harrogate
1 - 3
Colchester

Armstrong (77')
Ramsay (7'), Thomson (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Akinde (12'), Chilvers (17'), Tchamadeu (54')
Chambers (45+5'), Chilvers (50'), Smith (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 1-1 Colchester United

With the two sides only separated by three points, we think that Saturday's game will be a close-fought contest, which could result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawColchester United
40.7% (0.801 0.8) 27.96% (0.17 0.17) 31.34% (-0.965 -0.97)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.776 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.29% (-0.835 -0.84)58.71% (0.841 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.76% (-0.655 -0.66)79.24% (0.66 0.66)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.051999999999992 0.05)28.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (0.061999999999998 0.06)64.02% (-0.056999999999988 -0.06)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-1.126 -1.13)34.25% (1.131 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (-1.227 -1.23)70.95% (1.232 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 40.7%
    Colchester United 31.33%
    Draw 27.96%
Harrogate TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 12.23% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.304 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-3 Harrogate
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Harrogate
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-4 Harrogate
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Mansfield
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Swindon
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Colchester
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Wednesday, November 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy


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