Although it was not so long ago when Colchester were on a winning streak, that has now changed. Hartlepool's last two defeats have come to form teams, and we feel that they may be able to battle their way to a narrow success in front of their own supporters this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.