Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.06) 
