Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.07) 
