SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
37.83% ( -0.08) | 24.82% ( -0.01) | 37.35% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.44% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.21% ( 0.04) | 44.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.85% ( 0.04) | 67.15% ( -0.03) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( -0.02) | 23.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.57% ( -0.04) | 57.43% ( 0.04) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( 0.06) | 23.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.21% ( 0.09) | 57.79% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.83% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.35% |
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