SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
61.77% ( 2.41) | 19.7% ( -0.64) | 18.53% ( -1.77) |
| Both teams to score 60.51% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.09% ( 0.3) | 34.91% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.11% ( 0.34) | 56.89% ( -0.33) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.08% ( 0.73) | 10.92% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.9% ( 1.59) | 35.1% ( -1.59) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( -1.55) | 32.07% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( -1.8) | 68.55% ( 1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.37)1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.45)3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.35)4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.19)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.91% Total : 61.77% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.7% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.27% Total : 18.53% |
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