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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
MD

Forest Green
1 - 2
MK Dons

FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (43', 51')
Johnson (48'), McEachran (55'), Cumming (86'), Grant (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-0 MK Dons

This is destined to be a close-fought battle between two sides struggling at the bottom end of the table, meaning Forest Green and MK Dons are likely to play out a tense, low-scoring encounter. Given that Rovers have won two of their previous four home games in the league, the hosts could sneak another slender victory on Saturday, having produced a spirited performance against Championship opposition last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawMK Dons
40.23% (-0.623 -0.62) 26.97% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 32.81% (0.705 0.7)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (0.47499999999999 0.47)54.64% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (0.394 0.39)75.97% (-0.392 -0.39)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)26.64% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (-0.157 -0.16)61.88% (0.16 0.16)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.723 0.72)31.12% (-0.719 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (0.833 0.83)67.45% (-0.83 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 40.22%
    MK Dons 32.81%
    Draw 26.97%
Forest Green RoversDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.132 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Port Vale
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Burton Albion
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Forest Green
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 4-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 MK Dons
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 MK Dons
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Forest Green
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-3 Leicester
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One


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