Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.