Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.