Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
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