Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
-0.2) 
0.19) 
