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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%).
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Notts County |
42.16% ( 0.29) | 24.57% ( -0.03) | 33.27% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( 0.07) | 44.25% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( 0.07) | 66.63% ( -0.07) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( 0.16) | 21.06% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( 0.25) | 53.87% ( -0.25) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( -0.12) | 25.73% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.34% ( -0.16) | 60.66% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.27% |
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