Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.