Harrogate
0 - 2
Port Vale

Thomson (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Worrall (48'), Guthrie (90')
Conlon (61')

Data Analysis

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A closer look at Rebecca Welch's historic day in the EFL

The Match

Match Report

Rebecca Welch, 37, made history and her day went unspoilt without any major controversy.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Port Vale
44.66%	27.47%	27.87%

Both teams to score 46.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.77%

58.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.13%

78.87%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03%

25.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02%

60.98%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.34%

36.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.55%

73.45%

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 44.65%

Port Vale 27.87%

Draw 27.47%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 12.83% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.65%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.87%