Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
32.47% ( 3.19) | 28.19% ( 0.26) | 39.34% ( -3.45) |
Both teams to score 46.81% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.72% ( -0.02) | 59.28% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.31% ( -0.02) | 79.69% ( 0.02) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% ( 2.35) | 33.74% ( -2.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.6% ( 2.48) | 70.4% ( -2.47) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( -1.93) | 29.35% ( 1.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.67% ( -2.44) | 65.33% ( 2.44) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.71) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.37) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.46% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.66) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.84) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.59% Total : 39.34% |
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