SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
53.27% ( 0.05) | 24.96% ( 0.01) | 21.76% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.48% ( -0.09) | 53.52% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.96% ( -0.08) | 75.03% ( 0.07) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( -0.02) | 20.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.7% ( -0.03) | 52.3% ( 0.02) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.45% ( -0.11) | 39.55% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.77% ( -0.1) | 76.23% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 21.76% |
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