Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
27.25% ( -1) | 25.62% ( -0.11) | 47.13% ( 1.11) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.39% ( -0.14) | 51.61% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.6% ( -0.12) | 73.4% ( 0.12) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.4% ( -0.85) | 33.6% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% ( -0.94) | 70.25% ( 0.94) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% ( 0.45) | 21.9% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.84% ( 0.67) | 55.16% ( -0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.25% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.12% |
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