Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
1.55) 
-0.15) 
