Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
