Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.