Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
