Seven of Grimsby's 15 home games at Blundell Park have finished in stalemates, with their games against Harrogate Town and Leyton Orient ending goalless and 2-2, respectively, while Newport played out to draws in five of their last 10 games on the road.
A tie with both teams finding the back of the net appears to be in the offing.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
1.7) 
-0.23) 
