With Newport collecting more points on the road than they have at home this season, they represent dangerous opponents for Hartlepool on Tuesday.
However, the hosts will be determined to claim another positive result after moving outside of the relegation zone at the weekend, with Crawley's ominous games in hand on them ramping up the pressure.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.
-0.2) 
0.48) 
